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Oct 3, 2012
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it's still the economy, even overseas. get this -- as the november election approaches, the economy remains by far the top issue on voters' minds. a recent rasmussen poll shows the economy as very important as to how they will cast their ballot. here is dave goldman and keith mcauliffe. dave goldman, we're going to have to switch this a little bit. bear with me. the new today coming out of iran is potentially very important. as you may know, their currency, the rial, has dropped 40% in the past week. black market currency traders and others are rioting in the streets. they had to bring in special riot police to do this. what's going on? is that country imploding over its money collapse? >> larry, i very much doubt it. the immediate effect of the shortage of foreign exchange is to concentrate power in the hands of the people who have the foreign exchange, namely the regime. no one else has the guns and money to oppose them. the immediate impact will be to convince ahmadinejad and his gang that they need to be all the more a
it's still the economy, even overseas. get this -- as the november election approaches, the economy remains by far the top issue on voters' minds. a recent rasmussen poll shows the economy as very important as to how they will cast their ballot. here is dave goldman and keith mcauliffe. dave goldman, we're going to have to switch this a little bit. bear with me. the new today coming out of iran is potentially very important. as you may know, their currency, the rial, has dropped 40% in the past...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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and this workhorse gives you the power of a v8 with the highway fuel economy of a v6. incredible! right? an amazing test drive. i agree. [ male announcer ] it's chevy truck month. now during chevy truck month, get 0% apr financing for 60 months or trade up to get the 2012 chevy silverado all-star edition with a total value of $8,000. hurry in before they're all gone! humans -- sometimes life trips us up. and sometimes, we trip ourselves up, but that's okay. at liberty mutual insurance we can "untrip" you as you go through your life with personalized policies and discounts when you need them most. just call... and speak with a licensed representative about saving on your policy when you get married, move into a new house... [crash!] or add a car to your policy. don't forget to ask about saving up to 10% when you combine your auto and home insurance with liberty mutual. security, coverage, and savings. all the things humans need to make our beautifully imperfect world a little less imperfect. call... and lock in your rate for 12 months. liberty mutual insurance. responsibility. what
and this workhorse gives you the power of a v8 with the highway fuel economy of a v6. incredible! right? an amazing test drive. i agree. [ male announcer ] it's chevy truck month. now during chevy truck month, get 0% apr financing for 60 months or trade up to get the 2012 chevy silverado all-star edition with a total value of $8,000. hurry in before they're all gone! humans -- sometimes life trips us up. and sometimes, we trip ourselves up, but that's okay. at liberty mutual insurance we can...
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Oct 4, 2012
10/12
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and nobody as far as i know believes that the clinton economy was a bad economy. i mean, i was very proud to have been part of the clinton administration. it was one of the best economies we had. the tax rates did not harm small business. in fact, we had such a good economy because we had fiscal responsibility and at the same time we invested in infrastructure and in education. >> it was a different time. it was also the dot-com boom. >> that came at the end, that's right. but most people who look at those years and exclude those years that just preceding the dot-com boom understand that was a very good economy. do you believe or does anybody -- i mean, i would be very interested in grover norquist if he thought the clinton years represented a bad economy and if they were bad tax rates. >> as much fun it would be to relive the clinton years tonight, mr. secretary, i'd love to get grover -- i want you to expand more on this deduction limit. are you saying it might violate the letter of the no tax pledge but it does not violate the spirit? >> no, no. the president -
and nobody as far as i know believes that the clinton economy was a bad economy. i mean, i was very proud to have been part of the clinton administration. it was one of the best economies we had. the tax rates did not harm small business. in fact, we had such a good economy because we had fiscal responsibility and at the same time we invested in infrastructure and in education. >> it was a different time. it was also the dot-com boom. >> that came at the end, that's right. but most...
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Oct 3, 2012
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economy. that is great for u.s. stocks. what has to happen in the u.s. market is oil has always been this traditional leading indicator in the economy. if oil is up that means there is lots of demand and that is great. >> let's look at the oil picture. we did see oil breaking below $88. how could a regime change in iran impact oil? joining us is the king of commodities himself. you can take a look at wti. it doesn't seem like it is reflecting the tensions or would we be even lower if we didn't have them? >> i think that what we're seeing and michelle was explaining it quite well, i sent e-mails to explain what was happening. the possibilities of regime change is very much a part -- there has been tear gas let out in teheran in the streets. the currency has been literally collapsing. the currency movement of 5% is extraordinary in a week. a currency movement at 40% is perhaps unparalleled other than periods of hyperinflation. the regime has to be concerned about its continuation. we are hoping the students and workers will take the streets. they have seen
economy. that is great for u.s. stocks. what has to happen in the u.s. market is oil has always been this traditional leading indicator in the economy. if oil is up that means there is lots of demand and that is great. >> let's look at the oil picture. we did see oil breaking below $88. how could a regime change in iran impact oil? joining us is the king of commodities himself. you can take a look at wti. it doesn't seem like it is reflecting the tensions or would we be even lower if we...
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Oct 4, 2012
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don't tell me the economy is growing slower than when the president took office. that's not true. >> in the last year and the year before. the last three years is what i'm referring to. >> the last three years we've had growth. i agree the growth hasn't been strong enough. >> right. diana, do you think we could see a 75% tax rate here if, in fact, the president gets re-elected? would what's happening in france carry over here? is it the same ideology? >> no, because congress has to pass the tax rates over here. we have a congress. congress might let the rates go up to -- right now they're planning on letting them drop to 45%. when you add in state and local and some -- >> 39.6. what's five here or there. >> it's not 39.6. you have to add the medicare tax, the phase out of the personal exemption and standard deduction. that works out to around 44%. excuse me. >> okay, dpofolks. >> we're not going to get up to 75%. >> on that i agree. >> plus, our corporate tax rate is ten percentage points above that of our international competitors n competitors. that needs to be
don't tell me the economy is growing slower than when the president took office. that's not true. >> in the last year and the year before. the last three years is what i'm referring to. >> the last three years we've had growth. i agree the growth hasn't been strong enough. >> right. diana, do you think we could see a 75% tax rate here if, in fact, the president gets re-elected? would what's happening in france carry over here? is it the same ideology? >> no, because...
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Oct 4, 2012
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you believe that free market capitalism is the best way to grow the economy. i do too, susan. did that push you toward romney? >> absolutely. i think capitalism is the most efficient genius of american culture. and i feel that the current president doesn't see a problem that a government program can't solve. and i have much more faith in individuals. >> government trickle down. that is what the phrase that romney used. government trickle down zblin deed. >> i thought that was pretty darn clever. steve right here is cringing already about that. but government trickle down, susan. did that turn you off? >> yeah. very much so. and i think it's an accurate reflection of the philosophy of this administration. >> all right. how about the debate? we'll give you a few seconds. debate last night? please, not please? give me a quickie. >> i think you said it best, larry, when you said that the president's clock was politely cleaned. it was very -- it was visceral. it was in the room. it was clear that the president wasn't on his a game at all. you could see anytime his body language. yo
you believe that free market capitalism is the best way to grow the economy. i do too, susan. did that push you toward romney? >> absolutely. i think capitalism is the most efficient genius of american culture. and i feel that the current president doesn't see a problem that a government program can't solve. and i have much more faith in individuals. >> government trickle down. that is what the phrase that romney used. government trickle down zblin deed. >> i thought that was...
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Sep 26, 2012
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economy. the u.s. economy is still growing. our exports to europe are only a very small part of our gdp. the housing market recovery is much more important to the improvement of wealth. we're seeing some improvement of confidence. we're seeing rising home prices. all these are more important to the united states than what's going on in europe. >> mark, how do you see it? you invested in europe these days or no? >> a little bit, maria. you know, i guess the thing i would say about europe and soon to watch on our shores is you're going to pay more and get less. i look forward to the dislocation between price and value. i think there are a few opportunities in europe selectively. a company we own called securitas, which is a man-guarded service. it trades for about 50 krona. we think it's worth 72. we get about a 6% dividend yield. there's an example where you can find opportunity. >> everybody's looking for yield in an environment where we can't find any. rick, what are you seeing there today? >> you had a great point. everybody'
economy. the u.s. economy is still growing. our exports to europe are only a very small part of our gdp. the housing market recovery is much more important to the improvement of wealth. we're seeing some improvement of confidence. we're seeing rising home prices. all these are more important to the united states than what's going on in europe. >> mark, how do you see it? you invested in europe these days or no? >> a little bit, maria. you know, i guess the thing i would say about...
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Oct 1, 2012
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what does that mean for the economy? this is a bad fiscal tax cliff. >> listen, i'm not a big fan of the temporary tax cuts. i believe in lowering rates, permane permanently, deeply, that gets them the worst behaviors, invest more, tax more. i'm worried now that not only are we going to have higher taxes but the president's going to look at what's going on in france, maybe the tax rate should be 75% instead of 40%. economic patriotism should be the economic patriotism act. it will be 75%. >> let's keep it on topic, we're talking about the payroll tax cult which was done to stimulate payroll and consumption. >> and did nothing. >> i'm sorry, i actually see growth in certain sectors. we started the show talking about how good manufacturing -- you can't have it both ways. >> this has been the two worst recovery years in the history of the united states of america. >> it's stopped contracting. if you believe, i don't, jimmy does, but if you believe the payroll tax cuts stimulate consumption, what are you going to do when it'
what does that mean for the economy? this is a bad fiscal tax cliff. >> listen, i'm not a big fan of the temporary tax cuts. i believe in lowering rates, permane permanently, deeply, that gets them the worst behaviors, invest more, tax more. i'm worried now that not only are we going to have higher taxes but the president's going to look at what's going on in france, maybe the tax rate should be 75% instead of 40%. economic patriotism should be the economic patriotism act. it will be 75%....
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economy. >> no question. the economy for so many families in america have been very disappointing. many people are still looking for jobs. much of this is structural unemployment, as we've created more efficiencies in our factories, which means fewer jobs. so we have -- you know, we're still struggling with an 8-plus percent unemployment rate. that has to be part of the debate as to how -- what direction we go in the future. so it is my view, whoever is president in 2014 -- and i've been public about it. i am a democrat and voting for the president. >> you mean 2013? >> no, whoever is president in 2014, because my views of housing, my views in energy and my views on the banking system, i think we're going to have a rising economy. so i don't believe -- i think it's going to be -- we're going to have this success in our economy subject to working out our fiscal cliff, which we could spend a lot of time talking on. but i do believe the foundation for a stronger america is already here. >> larry,
economy. >> no question. the economy for so many families in america have been very disappointing. many people are still looking for jobs. much of this is structural unemployment, as we've created more efficiencies in our factories, which means fewer jobs. so we have -- you know, we're still struggling with an 8-plus percent unemployment rate. that has to be part of the debate as to how -- what direction we go in the future. so it is my view, whoever is president in 2014 -- and i've been...
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Oct 2, 2012
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>> the economy is another serious problem. that is another way of talking about the plight of real people out there. after four years of stewardship, i can say that we are not moving in the right direction. we are picking up 100,000 jobs a month. you have to have 180,000 just to keep pace. we are not in a recovery. growth is under 2% while it has been 2.2. that is why we are sitting around after all these years. we have a specific plan. that plan are tax incentives in order to build up this economy and great growth. you can't do anything in this country until you get growth going again. until there are plans in place. talking about a tax reduction so that they can spend more money. so that they are xare competiti with over seas people. >> you heard governor gilmore and in your opening, you basically said okay the economy is not as bad as you think. what i want to hear is what you and president obama would do in a second term. what positives would you put into place? >> we do need a jobs bill. someone said that the recovery bil
>> the economy is another serious problem. that is another way of talking about the plight of real people out there. after four years of stewardship, i can say that we are not moving in the right direction. we are picking up 100,000 jobs a month. you have to have 180,000 just to keep pace. we are not in a recovery. growth is under 2% while it has been 2.2. that is why we are sitting around after all these years. we have a specific plan. that plan are tax incentives in order to build up...
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Sep 28, 2012
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economy. drop back in 1990, it dropped back in 2000 to 2001, and of course it dropped with the financial crisis an the great recession hit. what i'm worried about, mandy, what we're going to talk about right now is the far right side of that screen. both of these numbers are coming in under 50. and when we hit sub 50 for both these numbers it often portends, how i do say it, not good things. >> that is indeed ugly. in fact, brian, as we can see from those charts, when the numbers come in below 50 it often means we're heading into recession. let's ask dan greenhouse, and with us senior vice-president of the chase mid cap growth fund. dan, i would like to start with you first of all. as we can see, the economic numbers appear to be take a turn for the worst. and yet your not totally convinced that the stock market rally is over. is that a fair play? >> well, it is. it's important to remember that the u.s. stock market is not u.s. gdp. certainly in the short term if not the medium term. i would m
economy. drop back in 1990, it dropped back in 2000 to 2001, and of course it dropped with the financial crisis an the great recession hit. what i'm worried about, mandy, what we're going to talk about right now is the far right side of that screen. both of these numbers are coming in under 50. and when we hit sub 50 for both these numbers it often portends, how i do say it, not good things. >> that is indeed ugly. in fact, brian, as we can see from those charts, when the numbers come in...
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Oct 3, 2012
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we may not be able to jump-start the economy. perhaps the best we can do is keep it from going into a free fall. that's a reality we're all contending with right now. >> all trying to figure out where we put our money in that scenario. lee, that for your time. lee partridge from salient partners. back to you guys. >>> there is mounting evidence that housing is really starting to turn the corner and the re-fi boom should also mean that more people are fixing up their homes. but is that really happening? we're going to stop in at the corner hardware store to find out. the family owner of one major store is about to tell you whether there is a surge in home improvements. that's next. [ male announcer ] you are a business pro. monarch of marketing analysis. with the ability to improve roi through seo all by cob. and you...rent from national. because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle... and go. you can even take a full-size or above, and still pay the mid-size price. i'm going b-i-g. [ male announcer ] good choice bus
we may not be able to jump-start the economy. perhaps the best we can do is keep it from going into a free fall. that's a reality we're all contending with right now. >> all trying to figure out where we put our money in that scenario. lee, that for your time. lee partridge from salient partners. back to you guys. >>> there is mounting evidence that housing is really starting to turn the corner and the re-fi boom should also mean that more people are fixing up their homes. but is...
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Oct 4, 2012
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any other economy and that will show up at earnings. >> ed, how much of today, if any, do you think is due to the perception that governor romney may have improved his standing at the first debate? >> i don't know. there's a lot of controversy about that. i've seen people argue that the rally we've had in the past couple of months reflects that obama might win, figuring that the market, you know, prefers dealing with somebody we know rather than somebody we don't know. i mean there's a lot of interpretations here, and obviously there are a lot of political color to all of this. look, i think that, you know, romney won last night. it isn't just that he won. obama lost with his performance. it brings him back as a credible candidate and he might win all of a sudden, whereas right before the elections everybody sort of wrote him off. so we have to look alt his policy proposals, and obama attacked romney for not having any, but actually on the fiscal side, he's getting pretty specific about favoring a cap on tax loopholes, and i think that's a great idea. i think it would, in fact, gene
any other economy and that will show up at earnings. >> ed, how much of today, if any, do you think is due to the perception that governor romney may have improved his standing at the first debate? >> i don't know. there's a lot of controversy about that. i've seen people argue that the rally we've had in the past couple of months reflects that obama might win, figuring that the market, you know, prefers dealing with somebody we know rather than somebody we don't know. i mean...
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make him the perfect person to turn the economy around. a former vice chair of the federal reserve will join us to make the case against a ceo in the white house. that's something you'll want to hear. bane sure to tune in tonight. the first presidential debate between governor romney and president obama. it gets underway here on cnbc at 8:00 p.m. eastern time. stay tuned. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 this morning, i'm going to trade in hong kong. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 after that, it's on to germany. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 then tonight, i'm trading 9500 miles away in japan. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 with the new global account from schwab, tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 i hunt down opportunities around the world tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 as if i'm right there. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 and i'm in total control because i can trade tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 directly online in 12 markets in their local currencies. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 i use their global research to get an edge. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 their equity ratings show me how schwab tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 rates specific foreign st
make him the perfect person to turn the economy around. a former vice chair of the federal reserve will join us to make the case against a ceo in the white house. that's something you'll want to hear. bane sure to tune in tonight. the first presidential debate between governor romney and president obama. it gets underway here on cnbc at 8:00 p.m. eastern time. stay tuned. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 this morning, i'm going to trade in hong kong. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 after that, it's on to germany....
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Sep 28, 2012
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i think the economy is weak. it's not strong by any means but the labor market looks like it is growing. i don't think it will rollover from modest job growth. claims are ploe low and tax receipts are improving. >> 1 30i7b 3% depend we got earlier this weak. a lot of people would call ate growth recession. i want to ask is this stall-speed or an actual recession? >> i think we have slowed since the 1.3% second quarter number larry. we are seeing durable goods orders down in july and august. we are seeing the pmi is down. importantly, europe is moving in to a recession. germany is now in recession and china is not doing its stimulus. you have a coordinated global slow down starts now and i think it is going to get worse. the reason is the pressure coming from the tax increase. businesses don't want to make a decision in the face of that much uncertainty and my view is the fed is actually contraction their. the more bonds the buy, the slower the economy goes. >> larry, i think david makes good points about global,
i think the economy is weak. it's not strong by any means but the labor market looks like it is growing. i don't think it will rollover from modest job growth. claims are ploe low and tax receipts are improving. >> 1 30i7b 3% depend we got earlier this weak. a lot of people would call ate growth recession. i want to ask is this stall-speed or an actual recession? >> i think we have slowed since the 1.3% second quarter number larry. we are seeing durable goods orders down in july and...
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Oct 4, 2012
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it won't help an economy plagued by uncertainty. it could complicate the tightening of policy when it is time for the fed to tighten and it could raise rates in other sectors. however, most participants believe the risk of qe as detailed there could be managed. >>> now a couple issues here. the effectiveness of the calendar date guidance. remember they extended that into 2015. but there's a big debate on the fed about whether or not this is effective. they worry that the change could be seen as an economic downgrade and not have a positive economic impact. they also said they prefer economic factors to calendar dates. sounds easy, right? no. because they can't agree on whether to use numerical targets and what they should be. they're discussing th ining the discussing these numeric targets. >>> that's a lot of information to process. we're going to do what we are calling the fed minutes in a minute. you have 60 seconds to break it down, pull out the nuggets that we need to know about and that are going to move the markets. your time
it won't help an economy plagued by uncertainty. it could complicate the tightening of policy when it is time for the fed to tighten and it could raise rates in other sectors. however, most participants believe the risk of qe as detailed there could be managed. >>> now a couple issues here. the effectiveness of the calendar date guidance. remember they extended that into 2015. but there's a big debate on the fed about whether or not this is effective. they worry that the change could...
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growth economy is slowing. if you're used to 5%, 10%, the impact that that has on energy, on materials, on all sorts of things is pretty significant. both for china and its implications for the rest of the world is pretty significant. >> you say 4% to 5% might be a reasonable return expectation in a domestic stock portfolio for next year. if i'm not satisfied with that, i'm greedy, i want more than that, where can i enhance my return under the scenario you predict? >> i would get similar returns still from the high-yield area. high yield acts like equities. you're not really changing your risk profile there but i'm also really interested in the emerging market areas. >> but not china. >> not china itself. that's true. it depends on some of the monetary policy, changes they may now make. but at this point, no, i agree. >> we have to leave it there. you called the market right. you said 15%. that's where we are. thanks for being with us. >>> let's go to seema for a market flash. >> we got a lot of ipos this week.
growth economy is slowing. if you're used to 5%, 10%, the impact that that has on energy, on materials, on all sorts of things is pretty significant. both for china and its implications for the rest of the world is pretty significant. >> you say 4% to 5% might be a reasonable return expectation in a domestic stock portfolio for next year. if i'm not satisfied with that, i'm greedy, i want more than that, where can i enhance my return under the scenario you predict? >> i would get...
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Oct 3, 2012
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yeah, we might get cheaper gas eventually, but at what cost to the global economy? >>> then, we're going to debate what is better for your money, an obama win or a romney win. >>> plus, the one thing that wall street wants to hear at tonight's debate. >>> and later on, american airlines says all the seats are fixed. >>> lots of things coming up at the top of the hour. back to you on "power lunch." >>> the world's top asset managers and investors are meeting today to discuss the economic landscape and how to navigate it. our david faber is with them at the barefoot economic summit in larue, texas. >> i've joined by founder, cio of golden tree house and management. they're in bank loans, they're in bond, distressed investments, private equity structured products. credit is the name of the game when it comes to golden tree. 16 billion-plus in assets. talk about high-yield credit overall. high yield continues to have funds moving in to it. are we towards the end of this bull run? >> we certainly are in the end of the bull run of low default rates. i believe -- i'm not t
yeah, we might get cheaper gas eventually, but at what cost to the global economy? >>> then, we're going to debate what is better for your money, an obama win or a romney win. >>> plus, the one thing that wall street wants to hear at tonight's debate. >>> and later on, american airlines says all the seats are fixed. >>> lots of things coming up at the top of the hour. back to you on "power lunch." >>> the world's top asset managers and...
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Sep 27, 2012
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the economy. as to the specific measures that they undertake, old habits die hard and respecting the independence of the federal reserve, you're not going to get me to make a comment, evaluating those measures one way or the other, but i think that the judgment that monetary policy should be oriented to domestic economic strength is the right basic approach for monetary policy to take. >> does it surprise you to see the euro at $1.28 to $1.30, because that surprises me. >> i've long ago given up being surprised by currency values. the only forecast you can make is the famous jpmorgan forecast that they will fluctuate. >> i know that you are going to be looking at tax reform and the idea of whether or not we can cut marginal rates because this has been so discussed in this election cycle. mitt romney has laid out a plan to bring down marginal rates and try and get rid of a lot of the deductions. does that work in your opinion? >> look, i think we always want marginal rates as low as we can have the
the economy. as to the specific measures that they undertake, old habits die hard and respecting the independence of the federal reserve, you're not going to get me to make a comment, evaluating those measures one way or the other, but i think that the judgment that monetary policy should be oriented to domestic economic strength is the right basic approach for monetary policy to take. >> does it surprise you to see the euro at $1.28 to $1.30, because that surprises me. >> i've long...
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high income people are doing just fine in this economy. they'll do fine whether you're president or i am. the people having the hard time are middle income americans. under the president's policy, middle income americans have been buried. they're being crushed. >> for 18 months he's been running on this tax plan. and now five weeks before the election he's saying that his big bold idea is never mind. and the fact is that if you are lowering the rates the way you describe, governor, then it is not possible to come up with enough deductions and loopholes that only affect high income individuals to avoid either raising the definite it or burdeneni ing the middle class. it's hamath. >> another hot topic, the deficit. >> it's now four years later, we still have trillion dollar defici deficits. >> $2.50 for every cut, we ask for a dollar of additional revenue paid for as i indicated earlier by asking those of us who have done very well in this country to contribute a little bit more to reduce the deficit. >> there were also some notable exchange
high income people are doing just fine in this economy. they'll do fine whether you're president or i am. the people having the hard time are middle income americans. under the president's policy, middle income americans have been buried. they're being crushed. >> for 18 months he's been running on this tax plan. and now five weeks before the election he's saying that his big bold idea is never mind. and the fact is that if you are lowering the rates the way you describe, governor, then...
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Oct 3, 2012
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what's happening is the economy is delevering, which is leading to slow growth. i think one of the key macro considerations -- we tend to think of macro in risk management terms, we're an equity long/short fund, stock pickers -- but the reality of is this environment is that you have to have a view and you have to manage risk and so one of the key considerations is when does velocity pick up, how does it pick up, what does that mean in terms of equity prices, what does it mean in terms of inflation. >> what do you think. >> what does it mean in terms of bond prices? >> we've just looked at that chart. it should pick up. there's good inflation and bad, in a way. >> that's right. and good inflation, ie increases in home prices, increases in wages, those would be positive things. positive investments as long as they were at a pace that made sense. bad inflation like oil prices, commodity prices, that would be a tough thing for the market. >> does this worry you? >> well, it worries me in the sense that -- i mean i think about this as all this liquidity that's if the
what's happening is the economy is delevering, which is leading to slow growth. i think one of the key macro considerations -- we tend to think of macro in risk management terms, we're an equity long/short fund, stock pickers -- but the reality of is this environment is that you have to have a view and you have to manage risk and so one of the key considerations is when does velocity pick up, how does it pick up, what does that mean in terms of equity prices, what does it mean in terms of...
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Oct 3, 2012
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economy is recovering, though. joining us now is steve murphy, a democratic strategist and managing partner at mvar, and gretchen hamill is a republican strategist and executive director at public notice. nice to have you both with us. steve, perhaps you can kick it off for us. what do you think tonight holds? >> you know, here's what barack obama has to do. the debate right now in the campaign is very heavily over economic policy going forward. that's where barack obama wants to focus. he will accuse mitt romney of seeking $4 trillion, $5 trillion in additional tax cuts for the wealthy while raising taxes on the middle class. there will be a lot of talk about that because mitt romney disputes that he would be cutting taxes -- excuse me, raising taxes on the middle class. at the same time, he's challenged. obama's challenge is not to be too cocky. with good reason, he gets cocky sometimes. he's got to be careful that he doesn't is a moment like he had in the new hampshire debate in 2008 where he said hillary is lik
economy is recovering, though. joining us now is steve murphy, a democratic strategist and managing partner at mvar, and gretchen hamill is a republican strategist and executive director at public notice. nice to have you both with us. steve, perhaps you can kick it off for us. what do you think tonight holds? >> you know, here's what barack obama has to do. the debate right now in the campaign is very heavily over economic policy going forward. that's where barack obama wants to focus....
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Sep 27, 2012
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i want you to help get the economy going. we need to get jobs and deliver affordable health care in an efficient manner. >> as a devout -- i'm a nut cake giants fan. but you have run an amazing franchise down there. >> thank you. >> you have truly run an amazing franchise. i hope the giants beat the patriots twice or three times this year, but you've been a fabulous owner. >> they've been pretty good at beating us. they're a great franchise. and before the patriots were created in 1960, i was a giant fan. that's who i used to watch. >> great stuff. thank you. robert kraft, thank you, sir. you're wonderful to come out here. i appreciate it. very old and dear friend. coming up, we'll play where's obama. no, not where's waldo, where's obama. every world leader is meeting at the u.n. this week and our president has not met with a single one of them. it's an outrage. i think mitt romney is a fool if he doesn't jump on this issue. that's next up on the "kudlow report." tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 let's talk about low-cost investing. tdd#:
i want you to help get the economy going. we need to get jobs and deliver affordable health care in an efficient manner. >> as a devout -- i'm a nut cake giants fan. but you have run an amazing franchise down there. >> thank you. >> you have truly run an amazing franchise. i hope the giants beat the patriots twice or three times this year, but you've been a fabulous owner. >> they've been pretty good at beating us. they're a great franchise. and before the patriots were...
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Sep 26, 2012
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despite fears about the economy, once we get past the presidential election it might be a good holiday shopping season. courtney reagan will have the latest on the numbers after the break. plus, good news for the auto industry. a key group of consumers coming back into the car market in a big way. the exclusive data is still ahead today on "power lunch." >> announcer: hey, follow us on twitter. @powerlunch. get breaking uh n ining news. find out what's coming up and everything else you need to know. [ engine revving ] ♪ [ male announcer ] every car we build must make adrenaline pump and pulses quicken. ♪ to help you not just to stay alive... but feel alive. the new c class is no exception. it's a mercedes-benz through and through. see your authorized mercedes-benz dealer for exceptional offers through mercedes-benz financial services. we create easy to use, powerful trading tools for all. look at these streaming charts! they're totally customizable and they let you visualize what might happen next. that's genius! strategies, chains, positions. we put 'em all on one screen! could we
despite fears about the economy, once we get past the presidential election it might be a good holiday shopping season. courtney reagan will have the latest on the numbers after the break. plus, good news for the auto industry. a key group of consumers coming back into the car market in a big way. the exclusive data is still ahead today on "power lunch." >> announcer: hey, follow us on twitter. @powerlunch. get breaking uh n ining news. find out what's coming up and everything...
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Oct 4, 2012
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economy. waiting on spain, the ecb expected to hold steady on rates. country's president tells cnbc that europe's policymakers must remain focused. >> if we get bogged down into what was meant by the june agreements and waste time on this kind of discussions, then it's much less likely that a coherent system will emerge. >> madrid continues to put faith in the hands of private investors while finance minister heads to london to raise funds for the country's bad bank. and india's crucial services sector grows at its fastest rate in seven months, while the government gets set to take another swing at boosting it through foreign investments. thanks very much for joining me. anyone that's missing ross, he'll be back in tomorrow. but for now, you're all mine. . plenty to come on the next couple hours of the show. lots of guests to help us figure out what's going on. we'll get a view from sydney about cautious shoppers. borrowing costs are expected to fall. we'll bring you those results from madrid.
economy. waiting on spain, the ecb expected to hold steady on rates. country's president tells cnbc that europe's policymakers must remain focused. >> if we get bogged down into what was meant by the june agreements and waste time on this kind of discussions, then it's much less likely that a coherent system will emerge. >> madrid continues to put faith in the hands of private investors while finance minister heads to london to raise funds for the country's bad bank. and india's...
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it's the world's second largest developed economy. there are many places here where money can be spent. and we think going into 2013, we'll see afternoon more proceed being a i have government response to spending. we think we'll see a much more aggressive bank of japan. working on bringing down the value of the yen, working on the pro inflation stance. if we see the bank of japan act rewritten, we could potentially see a 2% or 3% inflationary target on on the part of the bank of japan. that could unleash all sorts of positive good news. >> what more could the bank of japan do some because the yen is a victim of global flows rather than anything particular to japan, isn't it? >> well, that's part of the equation. japan without a doubt is the least worst off of many major economies and that's reflected in the strength of the yen. europe has kind of been a disaster for many, many months now or many years now in fact. it's great to see them win the ryder cup. maybe they'll get more confidence and start to get their act together in other
it's the world's second largest developed economy. there are many places here where money can be spent. and we think going into 2013, we'll see afternoon more proceed being a i have government response to spending. we think we'll see a much more aggressive bank of japan. working on bringing down the value of the yen, working on the pro inflation stance. if we see the bank of japan act rewritten, we could potentially see a 2% or 3% inflationary target on on the part of the bank of japan. that...
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economy phil la superbowl behind the wheel for us. i want to ask you, look on at the on year numbers, don't look barked the on month numbers, tells a different story, doesn't it? >> yeah. month to month has been different than year-over-year, year-over-year, looking at gains between 11 and 12%. look at the numbers for the month of september. um see better-than-expected numbers, generally speaking, hay cross the board. toyota coming in, gain of 41.5%. better than expected, as was honda and chrysler. gm and ford roughly in line with expectation. we mentioned toyota. the reason so many people are focused on toyota is because the gains picked up in the last couple of months for them. that company ford narrowed considerably, only 3,000 vehicle sales behind ford. an expanded lineup, 103% is substantial. i want to look at the big three market share. we crunched these numbers and you can see that there is a bit of a gain last year, the problems with honda and toyota well documented. this year, as two automatics have come back, seen the big th
economy phil la superbowl behind the wheel for us. i want to ask you, look on at the on year numbers, don't look barked the on month numbers, tells a different story, doesn't it? >> yeah. month to month has been different than year-over-year, year-over-year, looking at gains between 11 and 12%. look at the numbers for the month of september. um see better-than-expected numbers, generally speaking, hay cross the board. toyota coming in, gain of 41.5%. better than expected, as was honda and...
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we could grow the economy. that's what governor romney is going to try to do and i think eventually that will be reflected in the polls. >> when i look at my own state, our governor quinn has let a few slips, call them freudian slips almost hinting that should illinois get in big trouble, probably the federal government will find a way to help. this is nothing that i want to hear even talked about indirectly. do you think this will be an issue at some point? >> it could be. and let me be very clear. in nebraska and all across america, i just chaired the national governor's association this past year. americans do not want the federal government to bail out states that have failed, that have failed to adopt a balanced budget, that they continue to raise taxes. that's not what we want as americans. we want states to control their spending, create more jobs. so i certainly don't think the federal government ought to bail out a state like illinois or california if they can't do it themselves. >> governor, it's been
we could grow the economy. that's what governor romney is going to try to do and i think eventually that will be reflected in the polls. >> when i look at my own state, our governor quinn has let a few slips, call them freudian slips almost hinting that should illinois get in big trouble, probably the federal government will find a way to help. this is nothing that i want to hear even talked about indirectly. do you think this will be an issue at some point? >> it could be. and let...
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economy, we're watching materials as well today. typically these react most when we have these increase concerns about the problems in the eurozone, the ongoing problems and the lack of progress in actually dealing with those problems. higher expenses at apply there. that stock is likely to be a big mover today. we want to note american greeting signal a.m. receiving an offer to go private from the weis family. again, still no open for the ipo. >> let's shift to the bonds and the dollar. good morning, rick. >> good morning, carl. like an answering machine, there's a loop and the markets have a loop and we're seeing this loop again and we all know what it is. let's look at some one-month charts. it's starting to come down. you can see aggressively the boon chart, over the sea, over the pond. their rates on the ten-year maturity are looking very similar. also moving down. well, what's moving up? let's look at a one-month chart of two-year maturities in spain. you can see what's kicking up. about 25 basis points. you can see what's kic
economy, we're watching materials as well today. typically these react most when we have these increase concerns about the problems in the eurozone, the ongoing problems and the lack of progress in actually dealing with those problems. higher expenses at apply there. that stock is likely to be a big mover today. we want to note american greeting signal a.m. receiving an offer to go private from the weis family. again, still no open for the ipo. >> let's shift to the bonds and the dollar....
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economy in 2013. we could get a point, point and a half up on gdp just from a revival in the housing. europe is a mess. i've thought the euro has to go down, went above 130, is a little lower now. they have to bring that down some. i've been stung by that. that's the only way i think they'll save the periphery. the periphery is going to be a mess for many years to come. there are fiscal reforms that will be slow and painful. as far as china is concerned it's stabilizing there, it's not easy to come off a mammoth real estate boom. they're doing a better job than we did. >> craig barrett is our guest host today, former intel chairman and ceo and talked about how technology is going to go the same way as the international markets, 70% to 80% of the sales of big tech companies are. do you worry about it coming back to our shores anything that's happening overseas and affecting our own home companies, too? >> there's no question. what is it, 40%, 45% of the profits of the s&p come from global non-u.s. sale
economy in 2013. we could get a point, point and a half up on gdp just from a revival in the housing. europe is a mess. i've thought the euro has to go down, went above 130, is a little lower now. they have to bring that down some. i've been stung by that. that's the only way i think they'll save the periphery. the periphery is going to be a mess for many years to come. there are fiscal reforms that will be slow and painful. as far as china is concerned it's stabilizing there, it's not easy to...
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healing and -- >> the real economy, not just the stock market bernanke economy. >> particularly in the small mid cap space we're investing, the companies tend to be less international and tend to be doing well. most, if not all are having record earnings this year. there's much so be worried about in the economy but the underlying economy is healing. >> you're talking about the consumer strength basically? most companies are consumer oriented. >> the consumer has been strong, industrial manufacturing has been strong, software has been strong, you know, it's -- i'm not generalizing the whole economy but our job is to find value in the market and certainly our companies are building cash flows and where they're importantly finding ways to unlock the value. >> joe is a fan of jack-in-the-box. >> i am. in contrast -- >> i am a fan of chico's. >> in contrast to other fast food chains although there aren't many i'm not a fan of. >> that's obvious. >> i like jack-in-the-box, too. the play on jack in the box, they used to have a corporate parent in the day so they wind up opening their own sto
healing and -- >> the real economy, not just the stock market bernanke economy. >> particularly in the small mid cap space we're investing, the companies tend to be less international and tend to be doing well. most, if not all are having record earnings this year. there's much so be worried about in the economy but the underlying economy is healing. >> you're talking about the consumer strength basically? most companies are consumer oriented. >> the consumer has been...
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economy is on the mend. joining us right no with his solution is john allison, the former bb & t chairman and ceo and the author of a new book it's called "the financial crisis and the free market cure: why capitalism is the world economy's only hope." john, thank you for joining us this morning. >> good morning. >> you wrote this book because you wanted to push back at the idea that grieve on wall street and deregulation of the banks is what caused the crisis. >> the left has done a great job of creating myth. the myth that roosevelt ended the depression, when, in fact, his policies were eliminated. they did a nice job of creating a very destructive myth that the banking industry was deregulated and then greed was what caused the financial crisis. first, it wasn't deregulated, there was always greed on wall street. there was no epidemic, it was government policy that caused the financial crisis. primary mistakes made by the federal reserve and in trying to eliminate a minor correction in the 2000s, and ende
economy is on the mend. joining us right no with his solution is john allison, the former bb & t chairman and ceo and the author of a new book it's called "the financial crisis and the free market cure: why capitalism is the world economy's only hope." john, thank you for joining us this morning. >> good morning. >> you wrote this book because you wanted to push back at the idea that grieve on wall street and deregulation of the banks is what caused the crisis....
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economy. at the same time, he is said to be negotiating individually with the pe firms on the details of how his roughly 20% stake in the company would contribute and what role he might be playing after a buyout. and oracle ceo larry ellison says the company won't be making any major acquisitions during the next couple years. in an interview on "closing bell" yesterday, ellison said he is instead focused on growing organically. he also discussed the dividend. >> that's the decision of the oracle board of directors. i believe we'll gradually increase the dividend as opposed to dublg it or tripling it all at once. nothing dramatic. >> shares of oracle during the last year, take a look at it. 31.65. he's gotten close to the top there, joe. >> all right, andrew. thank you. >>> my stories don't deserve that music? okay. thank you. you know what? i'm so nervous now and unsettled, i don't know what's coming. >> we've been working on new music, trying to find new things -- >> those drums, though. i'm
economy. at the same time, he is said to be negotiating individually with the pe firms on the details of how his roughly 20% stake in the company would contribute and what role he might be playing after a buyout. and oracle ceo larry ellison says the company won't be making any major acquisitions during the next couple years. in an interview on "closing bell" yesterday, ellison said he is instead focused on growing organically. he also discussed the dividend. >> that's the...
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citing deteriorating outlook of the global economy. so not a great way to start the morning. >> no, not great, but i like seeing what we did -- i saw ge and i was going to tell whoever thinks that we need to kiss up to them still -- >> minority partner. >> they are. but comcast would have been a better -- or we could have done both. and did i see something that it had first quarter, second quarter, third quarter? what do i need in the fourth quarter to get to the 30%? do we hahave that anymore? is that gone? no, they don't have it. >> i saw the dow, s&p and nasdaq. >> what did it add up to? adds up to like 15 or so. >> i just saw for this quarter. >> oh, it didn't show first quarter, second quarter -- >> no. >> there are corporate headlines. people started getting plaq blackberries? >> they beat expectations. >> they lost money, they beat expectations. >> but they added subscribers. >> subscribers in developed countries. the point is a developing -- in the developing countries, i mean -- >> that's us. >> no, developing. >> okay. >> so
citing deteriorating outlook of the global economy. so not a great way to start the morning. >> no, not great, but i like seeing what we did -- i saw ge and i was going to tell whoever thinks that we need to kiss up to them still -- >> minority partner. >> they are. but comcast would have been a better -- or we could have done both. and did i see something that it had first quarter, second quarter, third quarter? what do i need in the fourth quarter to get to the 30%? do we...
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the service sector, the bigger part of the economy. this september number we're expecting, basically a lateral move. 53.7 was our last look and we're also coming off of several other data points. adp was better than expected at 162. high ironic, we stripped away last month's revision. we could argue about the fed in qe 3 but initially re-fis have popped and we're waiting for it, the markets are moving a little bit. equities are 55.1. they've had it. they started to rally. much better than expected. much better than our last look and it's the best number going back to march. march when you had a number of 56.0. we've pretty much taken away the down on equities and we've moved the basis point higher on tens to a middle of five-basis point closing range over the last week and that is at 163. melissa lee, back to you. >> thank you very much, rick santelli. slight pop in the equity market. steve? >> really interesting number here. rick said stronger than expected along with the ism manufacturing number. the business activity number, up to a
the service sector, the bigger part of the economy. this september number we're expecting, basically a lateral move. 53.7 was our last look and we're also coming off of several other data points. adp was better than expected at 162. high ironic, we stripped away last month's revision. we could argue about the fed in qe 3 but initially re-fis have popped and we're waiting for it, the markets are moving a little bit. equities are 55.1. they've had it. they started to rally. much better than...
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they'll drive the economy the wrong way. and when it came to closing loopholes, the only loophole he was willing to talk about, i wish he had talked about closing the kerry loophole. that would have been an interesting one. that's a big inexcusable one. but instead he said he'd get rid of big bird. as we all know, that's not going to do it. he's just not honest on either the tax side or the revenue side. but, look. i used to work at boston consulting group, too. mitt is a great presenter, and he made a good presentation last night. >> and i assume you have thoughts on -- and i don't want to get too much into the style because that is all anyone's talking about today. but you must have some explanation for why the president appeared the way he did and why he chose to leave out some bullet points that he could have pulled out of his pocket. >> sure, look. i think the president focused on the facts and focused on his accomplishments and his plans for the future. and he was very factual in what he did. and as many people have sa
they'll drive the economy the wrong way. and when it came to closing loopholes, the only loophole he was willing to talk about, i wish he had talked about closing the kerry loophole. that would have been an interesting one. that's a big inexcusable one. but instead he said he'd get rid of big bird. as we all know, that's not going to do it. he's just not honest on either the tax side or the revenue side. but, look. i used to work at boston consulting group, too. mitt is a great presenter, and...
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they're going to start talking about the economy. why the deficit's been above $1 trillion now four years running, and maybe if the moderators get into it, what's happening in the middle east, and what they think they can do about it. i think that governor romney's plan's going to be to try to stick to the substance because i think the country knows we need a change. >> i'm only half joking about kicking out of the room. metaphorically, a lot of republicans want to see mitt romney do just that to the president. they want to see him verbally beat him up and make the points that you've made crystal clear and win the argument. but there's another argument that says that one of mitt romney's problems is he's not likeable enough and he may need to turn on the kind of easy ronald reagan charm which he deployed so successfully in debate. it's a fine line, isn't it, between being hard and aggressive and making a point, but also coming over as likeable. >> right. and piers, really, the way to deal with that, and i think this is true for any d
they're going to start talking about the economy. why the deficit's been above $1 trillion now four years running, and maybe if the moderators get into it, what's happening in the middle east, and what they think they can do about it. i think that governor romney's plan's going to be to try to stick to the substance because i think the country knows we need a change. >> i'm only half joking about kicking out of the room. metaphorically, a lot of republicans want to see mitt romney do just...
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from the next economy, to the next generation, we help get... the most out of business, by getting the best out of people. shrm. leading people, leading organizations. constipated? yeah. mm. some laxatives like dulcolax can cause cramps. but phillips' caplets don't. they have magnesium. for effective relief of occasional constipation. thanks. [ phillips' lady ] live the regular life. phillips'. [ phillips' lady ] live the regular life. ♪ atmix of energies.ve the world needs a broader that's why we're supplying natural gas to generate cleaner electricity... that has around 50% fewer co2 emissions than coal. and it's also why, with our partner in brazil, shell is producing ethanol - a biofuel made from renewable sugarcane. >>a minute, mom! let's broaden the world's energy mix. let's go. >>> tonight, only in america. summer loving back from the past. ♪ summer loving had me a blast summer loving happened so fast ♪ >> he was too cool for school. she was a sweet, innocent new girl. john travolta and olivia newton john made "grease" a stupendous box office blockbuster. now they are reun
from the next economy, to the next generation, we help get... the most out of business, by getting the best out of people. shrm. leading people, leading organizations. constipated? yeah. mm. some laxatives like dulcolax can cause cramps. but phillips' caplets don't. they have magnesium. for effective relief of occasional constipation. thanks. [ phillips' lady ] live the regular life. phillips'. [ phillips' lady ] live the regular life. ♪ atmix of energies.ve the world needs a broader that's...
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health care program going and have everyone be on the same page and we've got to go and stimulate the economy to get our gdp again up to 4% or 5% increase every year, and to really fix our immigration problem that they have been promising us for 10, 15 years they're going to do. it's not just they say we're going to fix that but i want to know exactly how. how are they going to bring both of the parties together, sit down and really have a serious discussion and compromise rather than getting stuck in the idealogical corners. that is really the most important thing because in washington right now, nothing is happening. we haven't even had a budget in the last three years. >> romney has been hammered a lot for being very rich and a successful businessman. people using that against him, saying as many jobs as he made, he wrecked and so on. what have you made of that, somebody who is a very rich, successful man yourself, are you surprised that in america, the country that gave you the opportunity to become what you are, that they would now turn on somebody for being what used to be the great ame
health care program going and have everyone be on the same page and we've got to go and stimulate the economy to get our gdp again up to 4% or 5% increase every year, and to really fix our immigration problem that they have been promising us for 10, 15 years they're going to do. it's not just they say we're going to fix that but i want to know exactly how. how are they going to bring both of the parties together, sit down and really have a serious discussion and compromise rather than getting...
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also one of the hottest economies in the world. for the last year and a half the country has been run by sebastian panera. he made his fortune bringing credit cards to chile in the late 1970 wrz, richard quest joining us from london. tell us about this. pretty impressive resume for panera. >> not only impressive, but, of course, made international status, hero status, when he led his country's search and rescue off the famous chilean miners last we're. tv the sight of the president constantly always being there with the families that actually moved so much of the world now it's starting to criticize the united states. specifically, quantitative easing. that's the printing of money by the federal reserve. in an exclusive interview you with me the president said that simply printing money in america will not do the trick of rescuing the u.s. economy. >> yes. can you bring money and maybe you can solve the short-term problems. you will never solve the american problem just by printing money. you need to do much more than that, which i
also one of the hottest economies in the world. for the last year and a half the country has been run by sebastian panera. he made his fortune bringing credit cards to chile in the late 1970 wrz, richard quest joining us from london. tell us about this. pretty impressive resume for panera. >> not only impressive, but, of course, made international status, hero status, when he led his country's search and rescue off the famous chilean miners last we're. tv the sight of the president...
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more signs of weakness in the global economy. new data overnight from china show its factory sector slowed last month, and a report from hsbc says new export orders declined last month with the sharpest rate in 3 1/2 years. soledad, china has fashioned itself into the factory for the world. when china's manufacturing slows, everyone worries. >> all right, christine, thank you for the upset. >>> it's what everybody's talking about this morning, arnold schwarzenegger says that his life were a movie, nobody would believe it. from body builder to movie star to governor of california, his new book is called "total recall." it's out today and it details his entire life, including the now infamous affair with his house keeper that led to the breakup of his marriage with maria shriver. schwarzenegger talked about that affair in an interview with "60 minutes." >> i think it was the stupidest thing i've done in the whole relationship. it was terrible. i inflicted tremendous pain on maria and unbelievable pain on the kids. >> margita thomps
more signs of weakness in the global economy. new data overnight from china show its factory sector slowed last month, and a report from hsbc says new export orders declined last month with the sharpest rate in 3 1/2 years. soledad, china has fashioned itself into the factory for the world. when china's manufacturing slows, everyone worries. >> all right, christine, thank you for the upset. >>> it's what everybody's talking about this morning, arnold schwarzenegger says that his...
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economy and they reluctantly picked mitt romney. also shows, sadly enough, that none of these economists were excited about either one of them. so the 17 economists, the way it was broken down, nine picked romney and three picked obama. five of them couldn't commit to anybody because they said, you know what? it doesn't matter because neither one can fix the economy. even some of the romney supporters, they aren't enthusiastic. one of them said romney's policies would be less bad for the economy than obama's. so basically, you know, it's the lesser of two evils. not exactly a big sign of confidence here. but some say romney is more likely to have more success getting legislation through congress and supporters of obama say he's more likely to reduce the deficit and cut entitlement spending like social security. but it is kind of sad, carol, it wasn't much excitement for either of them as far as helping the economy one way or the other. >> let's talk about something a little brighter that's happening where you are. the dow's rising.
economy and they reluctantly picked mitt romney. also shows, sadly enough, that none of these economists were excited about either one of them. so the 17 economists, the way it was broken down, nine picked romney and three picked obama. five of them couldn't commit to anybody because they said, you know what? it doesn't matter because neither one can fix the economy. even some of the romney supporters, they aren't enthusiastic. one of them said romney's policies would be less bad for the...
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now, obama's had an edge on the economy in a lot of recent polls by a narrow one, two-point margin. not that much difference. interesting nonetheless mitt romney has a little edge there. a nice talking point for this campaign heading into this week, john. >> peter, live in washington. sorry we couldn't be in the same room, just too much raw energy. >> me, too. >> thank you, peter. >>> moving on, the big mystery in tennessee this morning. where you two missing siblings. a 9-year-old and 7-year-old brother. grandparents killed in a house fire last week. it was first believed the children perished it's a well but no sign of their bodies found. on friday a statewide amber alert was issued for them. >>> a taliban taking responsibility for a suicide. three u.s. service members among the three killed. 50 others wounded. the bomber targeted a joint nato-afghan patrol in khost city. this after two americans died including the 2,000th u.s. military member to be killed during the war in afghanistan. >>> a judge expected to rule later today on pennsylvania's controversial voter. >> i d. law. it
now, obama's had an edge on the economy in a lot of recent polls by a narrow one, two-point margin. not that much difference. interesting nonetheless mitt romney has a little edge there. a nice talking point for this campaign heading into this week, john. >> peter, live in washington. sorry we couldn't be in the same room, just too much raw energy. >> me, too. >> thank you, peter. >>> moving on, the big mystery in tennessee this morning. where you two missing...
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. ♪ (train horn) vo: wherever our trains go, the economy comes to life. norfolk southern. one line, infinite possibilities. for a golf getaway. double miles you can actually use... but mr. single miles can't join his friends because he's getting hit with blackouts. shame on you. now he's stuck in a miniature nightmare. oh, thank you. but, with the capital one venture card... you can fly any airline, any flight, any time. double miles you can actually use. what's in your wallet? alec jr? it was a gift. [ male announcer ] introducing a reason to look twice. the entirely new lexus es and the first-ever es hybrid. this is the pursuit of perfection. >>> let's move to politics in the battle over ohio. there are actually two battles going on there, the race for president and the fight over early voting. let me start with the presidential race. here's our latest polls for the state. 51% of likely voters are leaning towards president obama, around the same margin he won the state with in 2008. many consider the race to be closer than the numbers indicate. that's why both campaigns
. ♪ (train horn) vo: wherever our trains go, the economy comes to life. norfolk southern. one line, infinite possibilities. for a golf getaway. double miles you can actually use... but mr. single miles can't join his friends because he's getting hit with blackouts. shame on you. now he's stuck in a miniature nightmare. oh, thank you. but, with the capital one venture card... you can fly any airline, any flight, any time. double miles you can actually use. what's in your wallet? alec jr? it...
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the economy. look at this poll. which candidate would better handle the economy? the president, 49%, governor romney, 48%. a dead heat. the president has to defend his record. governor romney not only needs to attack his record but to convince voters he has a better place to take them if he wins the election. and you know this full well, the reason this debate and what both candidates say in the economy is so important is the friday morning after the wednesday night debate, we'll get the latest unemployment report. if governor romney could turn in a strong debate performance and another tepid jobs report, there's a chance for this race to change after debate number one. >> if you're the obama campaign, you're looking at all these numbers in our brand-new poll. what's most encouraging to you? >> reporter: in scrubbing through the demographics, the regional numbers, here's one thing they will like at the obama campaign. among white voters nationally, the president gets 41%. governor romney gets 56%. governor romney's beating him by a big number, how is that good for
the economy. look at this poll. which candidate would better handle the economy? the president, 49%, governor romney, 48%. a dead heat. the president has to defend his record. governor romney not only needs to attack his record but to convince voters he has a better place to take them if he wins the election. and you know this full well, the reason this debate and what both candidates say in the economy is so important is the friday morning after the wednesday night debate, we'll get the latest...
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that could help boost the economy. this is notable because it comes after three months of contraction in manufacturing. also, you look at china, manufacturing in china, in europe, it is going backwards it contracting. sobucking the trend. a good surprise for the u.s. manufacturing is what helped get us out of the recession in 2009. we saw activity picked up, hiring picked up. we saw the trend continuing. we want to see that continue to help the economy move forward. with a lot more momentum. >> we like it. we like the direction. alison kosik, thank you very much. >>> there are a lot of protests over mahmoud ahmadinejad in the united states this last week for the u.n. general assembly. a cameraman for the president of iran is now saying he doesn't want to go back home to iran, he wants to stay here. hear what he just did to make that happen. and the candidate's speech is in pieces all over the district. the writer's desktop and the coordinator's phone are working on a joke with local color. the secure cloud just receive
that could help boost the economy. this is notable because it comes after three months of contraction in manufacturing. also, you look at china, manufacturing in china, in europe, it is going backwards it contracting. sobucking the trend. a good surprise for the u.s. manufacturing is what helped get us out of the recession in 2009. we saw activity picked up, hiring picked up. we saw the trend continuing. we want to see that continue to help the economy move forward. with a lot more momentum....
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big questions over the role of government when it comes to the economy. these two guys could not be further apart. did they make their case clear last night? >> it was part of the debate i enjoyed the most. i enjoyed the economic stuff. when it got to the role of golf, jim lehrer asked that and i thought they stated their case and mitt romney stated it well where he said he doesn't believe the federal government can do much that is better than the private sector can be left to do or individuals can do and barack obama, you know, he started by saying the major role of government is keeping its people safe. but that is a fundamental disagreement between conservatives and liberals. i think -- i don't know that too many people would have been confused about their answers or would have expected them to say something else but i think it's important that your vote this time around is determined by what role you think government should have. the key difference to remember is in the last four years with the economic collapse, we live in a world, in a country where
big questions over the role of government when it comes to the economy. these two guys could not be further apart. did they make their case clear last night? >> it was part of the debate i enjoyed the most. i enjoyed the economic stuff. when it got to the role of golf, jim lehrer asked that and i thought they stated their case and mitt romney stated it well where he said he doesn't believe the federal government can do much that is better than the private sector can be left to do or...